Great Decisions 2017

Great Decisions Blue LogoGreat Decisions, produced by the Foreign Policy Association (FPA), is America's largest civic discussion program on world affairs. Every year, hundreds of thousands of Americans use Great Decisions to gain a better understanding of global topics affecting American’s role in the world -- and their policymakers’ responses. Each week, we’ll consider the importance of the topic to Americans, view a short video, and engage in a discussion of American policy in the area.

Attend the entire series of lectures or one lecture; no previous registration is required, and seating is available on a first-come, first-served basis. 

Optional Briefing Book - An optional text, Great Decisions 2017, provides an overview of each topic and will be on reserve for use at the Library or available for purchase ($20) at the Library desk. It can also be purchased online

Great Decisions 2017 is brought to Jefferson County Library by Quimper Unitarian Universalist Fellowship’s Adult Learning Program.

Facilitator Joyce Francis, Ph.D., taught International Relations at George Mason, Tulane, and American Universities prior to moving to the Olympic Peninsula. In 2006, she created her own online curriculum for civic education in international affairs (Literacy for Globalists). When it went out of date, Joyce decided to let FPA do the curriculum building and began offering Great Decisions in 2013.

Weekly handouts are available here:

The Future of Europe

Trade and Politics

South China Sea

Saudi Arabia

Geopolitics of Oil

Latin America's Political Pendulum

Afghanistan

Nuclear Security #1

Nuclear Security #2

Thursdays at 6:00 pm - Course Schedule

March 9 - The Future of Europe
The outcome of the United Kingdom referendum on EU membership sent shockwaves across the globe. It even caught British voters by surprise. The European Union has helped secure peace in Europe for the past 70 years. Now it faces an uncertain future. Amid a refugee crisis, lingering financial recession and the constant specter of terrorism, unity seems more imperative than ever. But the Brexit vote underscores the complexities of integrating an extremely diverse continent. What will post-Brexit Europe look like, and how can U.S. foreign policy adapt?
Weekly Handout

March 16 - Trade and Politics
The U.S. political mood toward trade has gone sour. One need look no further than the 2016 presidential contest for the popular narrative: trade means that China wins, at America’s expense. But do the numbers support that conclusion? The metrics used to gauge economic strength—Gross Domestic Product and balance of trade—have not kept up with the realities of modern manufacturing. Obtaining an accurate picture of U.S. economic stature requires a critique of those numbers. Only then can the U.S. develop appropriate policy solutions for the challenges at hand.
Weekly Handout
 
March 23 - Conflict in the South China Sea
The South China Sea is a locus of competing territorial claims, and China its most vocal claimant. Beijing’s interest has intensified disputes with other countries in the region in recent years, especially since China has increased its naval presence. Despite rising international pressure, including an unfavorable ruling by the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea, China staunchly defends its policies in the region. Preventing tensions from boiling over is a matter of careful diplomacy.
Weekly Handout

March 30 - Saudi Arabia in Transition
As Saudi Arabia struggles to adjust to the drastic decline in oil revenue, Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman attempts to boldly transform the country and shift more power to the younger generation. At the same time, many countries such as the U.S. point out the lack of democracy, women’s rights and human rights in Saudi Arabia, and blame its promotion of Wahhabism, an extremely conservative version of Islam, for creating jihadists. Bipartisan criticism of Saudi Arabia is rising in Congress. Both countries need each other, but they are at a crossroads in bilateral relations.
Weekly Handout

April 6 - U.S. Foreign Policy and Petroleum
What is the effect of U.S. petroleum security on foreign policy? For 45 years, the country has alternated between periods of energy security and insecurity, sometimes able to wield petroleum as a useful instrument of foreign policy, sometimes not. Despite the so-called “energy revolution,” the U.S. today is by no means disentangled from foreign dependence and global trends. In order to be successful, policymakers must recognize both petroleum security circumstances and patterns in the relationship between petroleum and foreign policy.
Weekly Handout

April 13 - Latin America’s Political Pendulum 
The pendulum of Latin American politics is swinging rightward once again. Yet as the “pink tide” recedes, the forces of change have more to do with socioeconomics than ideology. Dramatic economic and political crises have coincided in countries like Brazil and Venezuela. Still, the final result for Latin America may be the emergence of centrist, pragmatic modes of governance, and with them, opportunities for the U.S. to improve relations. The new administration must look beyond the neoliberal model of the 1990s, and develop an approach to relations fit for the 21st century.
Weekly Handout

April 20 - Prospects for Afghanistan and Pakistan
Major internal conflict has plagued Afghanistan for four decades. The U.S., for its part, has conducted military operations in the country nearly continuously since 9/11. Today, war with the Taliban persists, and tensions between the U.S. and Pakistan have gradually deteriorated. As his time in office drew to a close, President Obama limited further withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan. The incoming administration has a choice: will it maintain the status quo, completely reverse the Obama administration drawdown or withdraw completely? Does the U.S. face a no win situation in Afghanistan and Pakistan?
Weekly Handout

April 27 - Nuclear Security with guest facilitator Jack Salmon
Nuclear nonproliferation was a top priority for the Obama administration. While the Iran Deal was a diplomatic victory toward this end, major threats persist from both state and non-state actors. Countries like North Korea, Russia, and India and Pakistan continue to challenge nonproliferation efforts. The possibility that terrorists will carry out an attack using a “dirty bomb,” made from captured nuclear materials, looks increasingly real. In a fractious world, which way forward for U.S. nuclear security policy?

Jack Salmon did his PhD dissertation (1965) on “Tactical Nuclear Weapons and Limited War in East Asia,” but the US Army classified it and won’t let him read it.  Even so, he researched and taught international relations/national security for Gonzaga U., Virginia Tech, Univ. of West Florida and the US Naval War College before moving to Port Townsend in 2007.
Weekly Handout #1
Weekly Handout #2